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/* * Phusion Passenger - https://www.phusionpassenger.com/ * Copyright (c) 2016-2017 Phusion Holding B.V. * * "Passenger", "Phusion Passenger" and "Union Station" are registered * trademarks of Phusion Holding B.V. * * Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, to any person obtaining a copy * of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal * in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights * to use, copy, modify, merge, publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell * copies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software is * furnished to do so, subject to the following conditions: * * The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in * all copies or substantial portions of the Software. * * THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR * IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY, * FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE * AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, DAMAGES OR OTHER * LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM, * OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN * THE SOFTWARE. */ #ifndef _PASSENGER_ALGORITHMS_EXP_MOVING_AVERAGE_H_ #define _PASSENGER_ALGORITHMS_EXP_MOVING_AVERAGE_H_ #include <oxt/macros.hpp> #include <boost/config.hpp> #include <algorithm> #include <utility> #include <cmath> namespace Passenger { using namespace std; /** * Implements discontiguous exponential moving averaging, as described by John C. Gunther * 1998. Can be used to compute moving exponentially decaying averages and standard * deviations. Unlike normal exponential moving average, this algorithm also works when * the data has gaps, and it also avoids initial value bias and postgap bias. See * http://www.drdobbs.com/tools/discontiguous-exponential-averaging/184410671 * * ## Template parameters * * ### alpha * * Specifies by what factor data should decay. Its range is [0, 1000]. Higher values * cause the current value to have more weight (and thus the previous average * to decay more quickly), lower values have the opposite effect. * * ### alphaTimeUnit * * Specifies the time, in microseconds, after which the data should decay * by a factor of exactly `alpha`. For example, if `alpha = 0.5` and `alphaTimeUnit = 2000000`, * then data decays by 0.5 per 2 seconds. * * The default value is 1 second. * * ### maxAge * * Represents an educational guess as to how long (in microseconds) it takes * for the sampled data sequence to change significantly. If you don't expect large random * variations then you should set this to a large value. For a data sequence dominated by * large random variations, setting this to 1000000 (1 second) might be appropriate. * * If the time interval between updates is `dt`, using a `maxAge` of `N * dt` will cause * each update to fill in up to `N - 1` of any preceeding skipped updates with the current * data value. */ template< unsigned int alpha, unsigned long long alphaTimeUnit = 1000000, unsigned long long maxAge = 1000000 > class DiscExpMovingAverage { private: template<unsigned int, unsigned long long, unsigned long long> friend class DiscExpMovingAverageWithStddev; double sumOfWeights, sumOfData; unsigned long long prevTime; static BOOST_CONSTEXPR double floatingAlpha() { return alpha / 1000.0; } static BOOST_CONSTEXPR double newDataWeightUpperBound() { return pow(floatingAlpha(), maxAge / (double) alphaTimeUnit); } pair<double, double> internalUpdate(double value, unsigned long long now) { double weightReductionFactor = pow(1 - floatingAlpha(), (now - prevTime) / (double) alphaTimeUnit); double newDataWeight = std::min(1 - weightReductionFactor, newDataWeightUpperBound()); sumOfWeights = weightReductionFactor * sumOfWeights + newDataWeight; sumOfData = weightReductionFactor * sumOfData + newDataWeight * value; prevTime = now; return make_pair(weightReductionFactor, newDataWeight); } public: DiscExpMovingAverage(unsigned long long _prevTime = 0) : sumOfWeights(0), sumOfData(0), prevTime(_prevTime) { } void update(double value, unsigned long long now) { if (OXT_LIKELY(now > prevTime)) { internalUpdate(value, now); } } bool available() const { return sumOfWeights > 0; } double completeness(unsigned long long now) const { return pow(floatingAlpha(), now - prevTime) * sumOfWeights; } double average() const { return sumOfData / sumOfWeights; } double average(unsigned long long now) const { DiscExpMovingAverage<alpha, alphaTimeUnit, maxAge> copy(*this); copy.update(0, now); return copy.average(); } }; /** * Like DescExpMovingAverage, but also keeps track of the standard deviation. */ template< unsigned int alpha, unsigned long long alphaTimeUnit = 1000000, unsigned long long maxAge = 1 > class DiscExpMovingAverageWithStddev { private: DiscExpMovingAverage<alpha, alphaTimeUnit, maxAge> dema; double sumOfSquaredData; public: DiscExpMovingAverageWithStddev(unsigned long long prevTime = 0) : dema(prevTime), sumOfSquaredData(0) { } void update(double value, unsigned long long now) { if (OXT_UNLIKELY(now <= dema.prevTime)) { return; } pair<double, double> p = dema.internalUpdate(value, now); double weightReductionFactor = p.first; double newDataWeight = p.second; sumOfSquaredData = weightReductionFactor * sumOfSquaredData + newDataWeight * pow(value, 2.0); } bool available() const { return dema.available(); } double completeness(unsigned long long now) const { return dema.completeness(now); } double average() const { return dema.average(); } double average(unsigned long long now) const { return dema.average(now); } double stddev() const { return sqrt(sumOfSquaredData / dema.sumOfWeights - pow(average(), 2)); } double stddev(unsigned long long now) const { DiscExpMovingAverageWithStddev<alpha, alphaTimeUnit, maxAge> copy(*this); copy.update(0, now); return sqrt(copy.sumOfSquaredData / copy.sumOfWeights - pow(copy.average(), 2)); } }; /** * Calculates an exponential moving average. `alpha` determines how much weight the * current value has compared to the previous average. Higher values of `alpha` * cause the current value to have more weight (and thus the previous average * to decay more quickly), lower values have the opposite effect. * * This algorithm is not timing sensitive: it doesn't take into account gaps in the * data over time, and treats all values equally regardless of when the value was * collected. See also DiscExpMovingAverage. * * You should initialize the the average value with a value equal to `nullValue`. * If `prevAverage` equals `nullValue` then this function simply returns `currentValue`. */ inline double expMovingAverage(double prevAverage, double currentValue, double alpha, double nullValue = -1) { if (OXT_UNLIKELY(prevAverage == nullValue)) { return currentValue; } else { return alpha * currentValue + (1 - alpha) * prevAverage; } } } // namespace Passenger #endif /* _PASSENGER_ALGORITHMS_EXP_MOVING_AVERAGE_H_ */